Prashant Kishor, India’s most well-known election strategist, is stepping into active politics with his Jan Suraaj Party (JSP) in Bihar. As the state prepares for its next general elections, a new survey has revealed how Kishor’s party could reshape vote banks, disrupt traditional alliances, and decide whether the NDA or INDI Alliance returns to power.
Jan Suraaj Party’s First Test in Bihar Elections
This will be the first election for Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party, launched only last year. Unlike other new parties, JSP has already gained momentum among the youth voters of Bihar, particularly in the 18–24 age group. The survey highlights that 20% of young voters could back Jan Suraaj, giving the party a significant edge in certain constituencies.
Key Findings of the Vote Vibe Survey
The survey by Vote Vibe outlines multiple scenarios showing how JSP could influence Bihar’s election results:
- If JSP gets 10% votes and eats into 5% of Mahagathbandhan’s support, the Congress-led alliance drops to 34%, while the NDA rises to 42%, securing a clear lead.
- If JSP takes 5% votes from NDA, the tables turn. The INDI Alliance rises to 39%, while NDA falls to 37%, giving the opposition an advantage.
- If JSP cuts 2.5% votes from both NDA and INDI, and 5% from smaller parties, then the NDA still holds 39%, while the INDI bloc drops to 36%, ensuring Nitish Kumar’s return to power.
The Youth Factor: Jan Suraaj’s Biggest Weapon
One of the most striking findings of the survey is the youth support. With 20% of voters aged 18–24 backing JSP, Kishor’s party could break caste-based voting patterns that dominate Bihar politics. JSP’s strategy to field candidates across different communities could further weaken the traditional caste-driven vote banks of both NDA and INDI alliances.
Public Perception: Who Will JSP Hurt More?
An earlier survey highlighted mixed opinions about JSP’s impact:
- 20% believe JSP will hurt NDA the most
- 18% say it will damage the INDI bloc
- 35% believe it will eat into both alliances
This shows the uncertainty surrounding Kishor’s new political experiment and why both alliances are keeping a close watch.
JSP vs LJP: The New vs the Established
While JSP plans to contest all 243 seats in Bihar, many experts argue that its impact will depend on ground-level organisation. Unlike Lok Janshakti Party (LJP), which has a stable vote base and cadre, JSP is still seen as a newcomer. However, with Prashant Kishor’s reputation as a master strategist, analysts say it would be premature to underestimate his potential.
Conclusion: Can Prashant Kishor Swing Bihar in 2025?
The Bihar elections are shaping up to be a three-way contest between NDA, INDI Alliance, and Jan Suraaj Party. While the NDA currently appears to have the upper hand, JSP’s entry has introduced new uncertainty. If youth support translates into actual votes, Prashant Kishor could emerge as the kingmaker, or even a long-term challenger to established political forces.
As the elections draw closer, one thing is clear: Jan Suraaj Party has already changed the narrative of Bihar politics.
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Survey Reveals How Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party Could Swing Bihar Elections
